Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.425565e-05 4.110341e-05 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.478652e-05 3.328914e-05 0.000043 0.000055 0.000070 0.000086 0.000106
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.921453e-05 2.853388e-05 0.000040 0.000055 0.000074 0.000095 0.000123
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.452986e-05 2.389001e-05 0.000036 0.000053 0.000075 0.000101 0.000135
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.115839e-05 2.030750e-05 0.000033 0.000051 0.000076 0.000106 0.000146
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.070470e-06 1.813648e-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000078 0.000113 0.000160
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.080349e-06 1.571260e-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000079 0.000118 0.000170
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.549227e-06 1.371415e-05 0.000027 0.000049 0.000080 0.000122 0.000181
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.262929e-06 1.184975e-05 0.000025 0.000047 0.000081 0.000126 0.000190
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.143423e-06 1.000704e-05 0.000023 0.000045 0.000080 0.000128 0.000196
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.204967e-06 8.242153e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000078 0.000128 0.000201
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.579725e-06 6.966584e-06 0.000019 0.000041 0.000077 0.000130 0.000208
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.224325e-06 6.420054e-06 0.000019 0.000043 0.000083 0.000142 0.000231
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.396405e-07 5.178439e-06 0.000017 0.000041 0.000084 0.000148 0.000245
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.625233e-07 4.367683e-06 0.000016 0.000041 0.000086 0.000156 0.000262
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.343397e-07 3.421129e-06 0.000014 0.000039 0.000086 0.000160 0.000275
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.067240e-07 2.685822e-06 0.000013 0.000038 0.000086 0.000164 0.000288
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.150389e-08 2.265515e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000089 0.000172 0.000306
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.605901e-08 1.778617e-06 0.000011 0.000037 0.000090 0.000177 0.000319
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.035596e-09 1.394715e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000090 0.000182 0.000333
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.749230e-11 1.055323e-06 0.000009 0.000035 0.000090 0.000186 0.000345
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.468544e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000089 0.000188 0.000355
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.866227e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000087 0.000188 0.000361